Thursday, April 26, 2012

gold prices down 26-4-2012


gold prices down 26-4-2012



down 26/6/2012, spot gold 26/4/2012, gold prices prediction april 26 2012, gold futures forecast april 26 2012, impact Fed Comments ; Gold edged down on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates offered few surprises, but gains in equities and expectations the central bank could do more if necessary to lift the economy helped limit losses.
The Fed has previously engaged in two rounds of asset purchases totalling USD 2.3 trillion, known as quantitative easing, to drive down interest rates and stimulate the economy, while helping gold's safe-haven appeal.

Fundamentals
* Spot gold eased 92 cents to USD 1,643.06 an ounce by 0022 GMT after falling as low as USD 1,623.90 on Wednesday in a knee-jerk sell-off after the Fed disappointed investors who had hoped for another round of asset purchases.
* US gold for June added USD 1.50 to USD 1,643.80 an ounce.

* Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Wednesday said US monetary policy was "more or less in the right place" even though the central bank would not hesitate to launch another round of bond purchases if the economy were to weaken.
* Demand for long-lasting US manufactured goods tumbled by the most in three years in March and businesses cut back on spending plans, suggesting the economy slowed as the first quarter drew to a close.

Market news
* Asian shares gained on Thursday, retaining positive momentum as the Fed reassured markets that it will keep its very accommodative stance to support growth, and optimism grew over strong corporate earnings after Apple Inc's robust results.
* The US dollar floundered at three-week lows against a basket of major currencies on Thursday, having fallen prey to the Fed's dovish stance on policy

Gold Bargain of Lifetime As Gold Standard Inevitable Possibly Within Year $10,000/oz Looms

Gold Bargain of Lifetime As Gold Standard Inevitable Possibly Within Year  $10,000/oz Looms



Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,648.25, EUR 1,246.22, and GBP 1,017.88 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,641.25, EUR 1,241.49 and GBP 1,019.54 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $30.85/oz, €23.45/oz and £19.14/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,563.00/oz, palladium at $658.75/oz and rhodium at $1,350/oz.
After moves down and then up, gold finished $2.60 or 0.16% higher in New York yesterday and closed at $1,643.80/oz. Gold fell some $10 as the FOMC meeting commenced prior to going positive. 
Gold gradually eked out gains in Asian and early European trading prior to seeing some weakness.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)
Support for gold is at $1,612/oz and resistance is at $1,663/oz and $1,684/oz.
Gold climbed on Thursday on concerns that the Fed could employ more QE in a further attempt to stimulate the economy. The Fed said that the economic conditions "are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014”.
Continuing ultra loose monetary policies and negative real interest rates continue to support gold.
The Fed has already engaged in 2 rounds of asset purchases near a massive $2.3 trillion, to drive down interest rates and in a vain attempt to stimulate the US economy. QE helped push up both equity and commodity prices by providing cheap money to investors who placed it in riskier assets.
Thus, QE is leading inflation pressures and there is a risk that the Fed, like other central banks, continues to underestimate the risk of inflation.
Bernanke said US monetary policy was "more or less in the right place" even though the central bank would not hesitate to launch another round of bond purchases if the economy were to falter. 
Investors will examine efforts by Europe to solve the debt crisis after ECB President Mario Draghi called for a "growth compact" but put the blame on euro zone governments to sort out their economies. 
The eurozone debt crisis is far from resolved and the next stage of the crisis could be even more volatile than the recent Greek saga.
Gold Standard Inevitable, Possibly Within Year -  $10,000/oz LoomsReuters TV have interviewed John Butler who says a return to the gold standard is "inevitable" possibly as soon as within the year and $10,000/oz gold is on the cards.
Jamie McGeever interviews Butler in the Goldsmith Hall in London about his opinions propounded in his new book, ‘The Golden Revolution : How to Prepare for the Coming Gold Standard.’ 
Butler has 18 years’ experience in the global financial industry, having worked for European and US investment banks in London, New York and Germany.
The book says that the era of paper currency is coming to an end and a return to a gold backed dollar is basically inevitable. 
McGeever starts the interview by saying that far from gold being expensive at $2,000/oz, gold may be “the bargain of a life time” especially “if the world returns to some form of gold standard.” 
Butler says that this “could happen as early as next year” due to BRIC nations dissatisfaction with the dollar reserve standard, “they will start to move formally back to gold”. 
There are many ways that this can happen according to Butler including one country becoming a first mover, surprising the world and the United States, by pegging its currency to gold
He points out that Russia may be the country who could do precisely that.
This could lead to a run on the US dollar and financial assets and could see the dollar lose 20% in 24 hours as investors pour into real assets such as oil and gold. This could lead to a depression in the U.S.
There could be a Bretton Woods style “crisis meeting” where the U.S. decides it must reinstate the gold standard or else the dollar “may lose its reserve status entirely.”
Gold at $5,000/oz should happen and possibly over $10,000/oz in that scenario as gold will be a “de facto monetary asset in cross border balance of payments transactions”.
Reuters’ McGeever acknowledges how the “gold market is tiny” compared to “trillions and trillions of dollars worth of cash and assets sloshing around the world financial system.” He asks how can countries back “all of that” against such a “tiny and finite amount of gold?”
Butler responds by saying that “the amount of gold is finite by weight or volume, it is not finite by price.”
If gold is going to be remonetised it is entirely reasonable that “gold’s price will rise by an order of magnitude.” 
Butler correctly points out that if gold were to rise to over $10,000/oz then in fact what you would have is a market capitalisation of gold, as it were, vis-à-vis the money supply and credit volume generally which is in line with a longer term comparison – it implies stability.
It is another must watch video and shows how consciousness regarding the value of gold as a finite asset and currency is gradually shifting with obvious ramifications for all who wish to protect and grow their wealth in the coming years.  
Far from gold being a speculative bubble, as suggested by less informed economic experts and financial advisors, it may remain undervalued at below $2,000/oz and may be destined to reach much higher levels as gold reasserts itself as the global currency par excellence.
OTHER  NEWS(Bloomberg) -- IShares Silver Trust Holdings Unchanged at 9,552 Metric Tons 
Silver holdings in the IShares Silver Trust, the biggest exchange-traded fund backed by silver, were unchanged at 9,552.14 metric tons as of April 25, according to figures on the company’s website.
================================================================================
                  April 25   April 24   April 23   April 20   April 18  April 17
                      2012       2012       2012       2012       2012      2012
================================================================================
Million Ounces     307.108    307.108    307.108    307.108    309.827   309.827
 Daily change            0          0          0 -2,718,365          0 1,456,383
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Metric tons       9,552.14   9,552.14   9,552.14   9,552.14   9,636.69  9,636.69
 Daily change         0.00       0.00       0.00     -84.55       0.00     45.30



Gold for June delivery in New York rose 0.2 percent to $1,644.80 an ounce at 8:19 a.m. in Melbourne, while bullion for immediate delivery was little changed at $1,644.13 an ounce.
The futures declined yesterday after the Federal Reserve reduced its forecast for unemployment and refrained from providing more stimulus measures at the conclusion of a two-day meeting, easing concern that inflation will accelerate.   Silver for July delivery climbed 1.1 percent to $30.76 an ounce

Okazja inwestycyjna na akcjach miners

Okazja inwestycyjna na akcjach miners



Ech, przez bzdurny komentarz niemal zabrakło mi czasu na ten wpis, z tego powodu będzie skrótowy. Dopiero z perspektywy czasu rozumiem, dlaczego na zaprzyjaźnionym blogu slomski.us komentarze czasem byłby wyłączane. Wróćmy jednak do czegoś mądrzejszego czyli wykresu i słów jakie wypowiedział James Turk dla KWN. Faktycznie coś jest na rzeczy, a w polskiej blogosferze o temacie wspominał już jakiś czas temu MKE na swoim surowcowym blogu. Cóż takiego, a poczytajcie sami:
I want KWN readers to take a look at the following 30 year chart, which I believe is the most important and extraordinary chart for 2012.  It presents the XAU Gold Mining Index measured in terms of gold, not dollars:
We’re making history here.  Gold stocks have never been this undervalued before.  We’ve had a 12 year bull market in gold, but we’ve also had a 15 year bear market in the mining shares that began with the Bre-X collapse.
It’s very rare in market history to see an outlier like this.  This is an extraordinary event.  Years from now we are going to look back and shake our heads in disbelief at how undervalued gold stocks were in 2012.
King World News James Turk The Most Important Chart for 2012 Okazja inwestycyjna na akcjach miners??

Oto XAU czyli indeks dużych kompanii złota w długim terminie, który dla odmiany nie opiera się na USD, a na wycenie w złocie. Całość wygląda na wyjątkową okazję inwestycyjną w długim terminie, dla tych, którzy lokują środki długoterminowo i mogą pozwolić sobie na poczekanie kilku lat relacja ryzyka do zysku wydaje się być znakomita. To co jest jedynym sensownym hamulcem wstrzymującym przed taką inwestycją to względnie wysoka wycena indeksów na giełdach światowych (SPX), które mogą sygnalizować ryzyko przeceny. Ta jak wiadomo (o ile do niej dojdzie) pociągnęłaby w dół zapewne nieznacznie złoto i dużo znaczniej srebro, akcje miners zaś ucierpiałyby z całą pewnością wyraźnie.
Osobiście nie wiem, czy zająłbym teraz pozycję w akcjach miners, ale byłby to dla mnie główny cel inwestycyjny do wejścia w aktualnej perspektywie (średni termin). Owszem, tak jak pisze Turk ja również obstawiam, że akcje wartościowych kompanii górniczych będą takim samym hitem i lśniącym wehikułem inwestycyjnym jak kilka lat temu akcje dotcomów. Zapewne za kilka lat tak samo jak dotcomy skończą, ale to już temat na inną bajkę i z obecnej perspektywy jeszcze absolutnie nie do omawiania

Gold and Silver Bullion Coin Sales Rise In April 2012


 Gold and Silver Bullion Coin Sales Rise In April 2012


Production figures from the U.S. Mint for April 2012
show a sharp increase in the sale of both gold and silver bullion coins from the previous month.

Total sales of the American Gold Eagle bullion coins increased in March to 62,500 ounces, up from 21,000 ounces in February.  Total sales of the American Silver Eagle bullion coins totaled 2,542,000 ounces in March, up from 1,490,000 ounces in February.  Sales of both bullion coins for the first quarter of 2012, however, declined from the prior year.
Sales of the American Gold Eagle bullion coins totaled 210,500 ounces for the first quarter of 2012, down 29.7% from the 299,500 ounces sold in the first quarter of 2011.  Total sales of the American Silver Eagle bullion coins amounted to 10,139,000 ounces during the first quarter of 2012, down by 18.4% from the 12,429,000 ounces sold in the prior year's first quarter.
The all time record year for sales of the American Gold Eagle bullion coins occurred in 2009 with 1,435,000 ounces sold.  The all time high record for sales of the American Silver Eagle bullion coins was in 2011 when a total of 39,868,500 one ounce coins were sold.
Gold Bullion U.S. Mint Sales By Year
Year Total Ounces Sold
2000 164,500
2001 325,000
2002 315,000
2003 484,500
2004 536,000
2005 449,000
2006 261,000
2007 198,500
2008 860,500
2009 1,435,000
2010 1,220,500
2011 1,000,000
2012 210,500
Total 7,460,000
Note: 2012 totals through April 31, 2012
The amount of physical gold bullion purchased purchased from the U.S. Mint over the past 12 years remains relatively small compared to the amount of gold invested in the two largest gold trust ETFs.  The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is the world's largest physically backed gold exchange traded ETF fund with current holdings of 41.4 million ounces of gold.  The iShares Gold Trust ETF (IAU) currently holds 6.2 million ounces of gold.
The total sales of gold and silver bullion coins detailed above do not include U.S. Mint gold and silver numismatic coin sales which are directly sold to the public.  American Gold and Silver Eagle bullion coins are only sold to a network of authorized purchasers  who in turn resell the coins to secondary retailers and the public.  The U.S. Mint decided that using  Authorized Purchasers to sell gold and silver bullion coins to the public was the most efficient means of selling the coins to the public at competitive prices.
Shown below are the U.S. Mint sales figures for the American Silver Eagle bullion coins since 2000.  Sales totals for 2012 are through March 31st.
American Silver Eagle Bullion Coins
YEAR OUNCES SOLD
2000 9,133,000
2001 8,827,500
2002 10,475,500
2003 9,153,500
2004 9,617,000
2005 8,405,000
2006 10,021,000
2007 9,887,000
2008 19,583,500
2009 28,766,500
2010 34,662,500
2011 39,868,500
2012 10,139,000
TOTAL 208,539,500